Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +10 | 190 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -5.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+46.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -4.9 (-5.1) | 142.4 (+47.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -4.1 (-5.9) | 141.6 (+48.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -4.6 (-5.4) | 142.8 (+47.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -4.6 (-5.4) | 141.8 (+48.2) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | COLG 69 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLG 76 – 69 ARMY |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COLG 84 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ARMY 84 – 72 COLG |
| Jan 3, 2025 | COLG 71 – 59 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 16-2 |
| Home | 10-4 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-12 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#279) | 1.8 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#270) | -0.37 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#281) | -0.23 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#248) | 0.498 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.