Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +2 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -0.7 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.3 (+37.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -0.6 (-2.6) | 126.6 (+31.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -0.6 (-2.6) | 129.7 (+28.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OU -0.6 (-2.6) | 130.7 (+27.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -0.3 (-2.3) | 128.7 (+29.3) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | OU 88 – 85 TEX |
| Jan 31, 2026 | TEX 79 – 69 OU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OU 76 – 72 TEX |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TEX 77 – 73 OU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TEX 94 – 80 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-6 | 16-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#27) | 15.4 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#53) | 2.58 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#38) | 3.35 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#86) | 0.586 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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