Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
New Mexico Lobos
75 – 66
FINAL Conference
Wyoming Cowboys
Mountain West Conference · The Pit · February 16, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WYO -5.5 Home covered
O/U 153.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNM win
Actual UNM +9 141 Won
Massey WYO -6.6 (+15.6) — —
Massey Totals — 157.3 (-16.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 8% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 6% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WYO -6.3 (+15.3) 152.2 (-11.2) 29% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WYO -6.6 (+15.6) 154.7 (-13.7) 25% ✗
Baseline ML WYO -5.8 (+14.8) 154.2 (-13.2) 28% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WYO -7.3 (+16.3) 153.1 (-12.1) 26% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 4, 2026 UNM 78 – 58 WYO
Feb 13, 2025 UNM 71 – 67 WYO
Jan 8, 2025 UNM 61 – 53 WYO
Feb 7, 2024 UNM 91 – 73 WYO
Jan 7, 2024 UNM 77 – 60 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNM WYO
Overall 13-19 25-9
Conference 5-12 13-5
Home 11-7 14-1
Away 2-9 8-5
Neutral 0-3 3-3
Last 5 2-3 5-0
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 73.7 71.5
Avg Pts Against 76.7 65.7
Massey 1.0 (#143) 10.6 (#40)
Bradley-Terry 0.13 (#162) 3.12 (#10)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.28 (#152) 3.59 (#13)
RPI 0.515 (#155) 0.625 (#13)
Shooting & Four Factors UNM WYO
FG% 43.5% 47.7%
3PT% 35.0% 33.6%
REB / G 33.7 35.9
OREB / G 9.0 7.8
AST / TO 1.02 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.4% 54.6%
TOV% 16.3% 16.2%
ORB% 24.3% 25.1%
FT Rate 24.2% 29.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.4% 46.6%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 14.9%
DRB% 70.0% 75.8%
Opp FT Rate 28.3% 16.6%

Game Analysis

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