Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -6.0 Push |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | UCSD +200 UCI -240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +6 | 106 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -5.4 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (-24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -4.6 (-1.4) | 131.3 (-25.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -4.2 (-1.8) | 134.5 (-28.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -4.2 (-1.8) | 135.8 (-29.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -4.2 (-1.8) | 129.4 (-23.4) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | UCSD 71 – 69 UCI |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCI 61 – 59 UCSD |
| Mar 16, 2025 | UCSD 75 – 61 UCI |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UCSD 85 – 67 UCI |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UCI 60 – 52 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 15-10 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 9-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 61.4 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#259) | 3.2 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#248) | 0.60 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#233) | 0.57 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#267) | 0.536 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 18.2% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 43.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.7% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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