Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | DEP -7.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEP -5.1 (-7.1) | 133.8 (+10.2) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -5.6 (-7.6) | 133.8 (+10.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -5.6 (-7.6) | 134.3 (+9.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -5.4 (-7.4) | 135.5 (+8.5) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BTLR 81 – 71 DEP |
| Jan 21, 2026 | BTLR 87 – 80 DEP |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BTLR 84 – 72 DEP |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BTLR 86 – 69 DEP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BTLR 82 – 63 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-7 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#85) | 2.2 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#78) | 1.12 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#77) | 1.53 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#136) | 0.515 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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