Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -1.0 Push |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +1 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | FSU -1.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -2.8 (-1.8) | 139.3 (+21.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -2.7 (-1.7) | 143.3 (+17.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -1.6 (-0.6) | 142.8 (+18.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -1.8 (-0.8) | 143.0 (+18.0) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FSU 70 – 65 CLEM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CLEM 72 – 46 FSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLEM 77 – 57 FSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CLEM 74 – 63 FSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CLEM 78 – 67 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#94) | 7.0 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#100) | 0.67 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#112) | 1.11 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#112) | 0.509 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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