Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +3 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -2.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -3.4 (-6.4) | 138.9 (+12.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -3.2 (-6.2) | 139.8 (+11.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -3.0 (-6.0) | 141.0 (+10.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -3.4 (-6.4) | 139.8 (+11.2) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | SC 64 – 61 MISS |
| Feb 13, 2025 | MISS 72 – 68 SC |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SC 72 – 59 MISS |
| Feb 6, 2024 | SC 68 – 65 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2023 | MISS 67 – 61 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-8 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#104) | 5.3 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#111) | 1.20 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#103) | 1.23 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#143) | 0.553 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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