Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +13 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -12.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (+25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -12.3 (+0.7) | 143.5 (+25.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -11.9 (+1.1) | 144.7 (+24.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -12.3 (+0.7) | 143.8 (+25.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -12.0 (+1.0) | 144.8 (+24.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | M-OH 110 – 108 OHIO |
| Feb 14, 2026 | M-OH 90 – 74 OHIO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OHIO 75 – 66 M-OH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | M-OH 73 – 69 OHIO |
| Mar 9, 2024 | OHIO 72 – 59 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-8 |
| Away | 8-6 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 76.0 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#101) | -4.2 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#46) | -0.95 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#59) | -1.11 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#51) | 0.439 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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