Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | EMU -2.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -0.5 (-4.5) | 146.6 (-1.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -1.0 (-4.0) | 147.2 (-2.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -0.9 (-4.1) | 148.4 (-3.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -0.8 (-4.2) | 149.3 (-4.3) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | EMU 66 – 54 CMU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | CMU 100 – 65 EMU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | EMU 84 – 73 CMU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | CMU 82 – 63 EMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CMU 65 – 62 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-15 |
| Home | 2-9 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#336) | -7.4 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#287) | -1.07 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#298) | -1.34 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#252) | 0.438 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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