I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Southeastern Conference · Food City Center · February 16, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread TENN -1.0 Home covered
O/U 140.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total TENN win
Actual TENN +13 139 Won
Massey UK -0.1 (+13.1) — —
Massey Totals — 144.0 (-5.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 51% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 43% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TENN -3.0 (+10.0) 139.5 (-0.5) 70% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML TENN -1.6 (+11.4) 142.8 (-3.8) 55% ✓
Baseline ML TENN -2.5 (+10.5) 143.1 (-4.1) 66% ✓
Baseline Plus ML TENN -2.1 (+10.9) 142.9 (-3.9) 66% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 UK 74 – 71 TENN
Jan 17, 2026 UK 80 – 78 TENN
Mar 28, 2025 TENN 78 – 65 UK
Feb 12, 2025 UK 75 – 64 TENN
Jan 29, 2025 UK 78 – 73 TENN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TENN UK
Overall 27-8 26-8
Conference 14-4 14-4
Home 16-0 18-0
Away 6-5 6-5
Neutral 5-3 2-3
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 73.5 79.4
Avg Pts Against 62.9 66.6
Massey 17.8 (#11) 20.9 (#3)
Bradley-Terry 2.88 (#17) 3.36 (#7)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.52 (#15) 4.36 (#6)
RPI 0.630 (#9) 0.644 (#6)
Shooting & Four Factors TENN UK
FG% 43.6% 49.1%
3PT% 34.5% 35.6%
REB / G 36.4 41.2
OREB / G 12.2 13.0
AST / TO 1.35 1.44
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.0% 54.2%
TOV% 17.9% 16.8%
ORB% 33.3% 37.6%
FT Rate 19.4% 19.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.5% 45.4%
Opp TOV% 24.6% 18.3%
DRB% 73.6% 76.3%
Opp FT Rate 21.3% 17.1%

Game Analysis

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