Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +2 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | DUKE -9.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -11.8 (-9.8) | 150.0 (+0.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -10.2 (-8.2) | 149.3 (+0.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -10.0 (-8.0) | 147.9 (+2.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -11.3 (-9.3) | 147.4 (+2.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | DUKE 90 – 69 WAKE |
| Mar 4, 2025 | DUKE 93 – 60 WAKE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DUKE 63 – 56 WAKE |
| Feb 24, 2024 | WAKE 83 – 79 DUKE |
| Feb 13, 2024 | DUKE 77 – 69 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUKE | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-7 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-3 | 18-2 |
| Away | 9-2 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 78.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 18.1 (#10) | 11.4 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.91 (#16) | 1.93 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.43 (#4) | 2.38 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#18) | 0.557 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUKE | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.2% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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