Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +9 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -4.2 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -1.9 (-7.1) | 136.9 (-5.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -2.3 (-6.7) | 136.4 (-5.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -2.7 (-6.3) | 138.1 (-7.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -2.9 (-6.1) | 138.7 (-7.7) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | IONA 72 – 64 SPU |
| Jan 19, 2026 | SPU 77 – 63 IONA |
| Dec 8, 2024 | IONA 72 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SPU 59 – 53 IONA |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SPU 69 – 57 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 17-3 |
| Home | 9-4 | 13-0 |
| Away | 7-7 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#166) | 7.0 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#182) | 1.89 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#177) | 1.99 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#122) | 0.617 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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