Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +3 | 105 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -2.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -2.7 (-5.7) | 129.9 (-24.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -3.0 (-6.0) | 132.2 (-27.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -3.2 (-6.2) | 133.2 (-28.2) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -2.9 (-5.9) | 129.8 (-24.8) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | TCU 62 – 55 ISU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | ISU 82 – 52 TCU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | ISU 71 – 59 TCU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ISU 73 – 72 TCU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | ISU 70 – 59 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#56) | 10.1 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#33) | 2.12 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#34) | 2.74 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#58) | 0.543 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 25.1% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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