Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -29.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +20 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -30.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -14.8 (-5.2) | 161.0 (-9.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -17.4 (-2.6) | 161.8 (-9.8) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -21.0 (+1.0) | 163.5 (-11.5) | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -23.3 (+3.3) | 160.7 (-8.7) | 11% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | GONZ 84 – 60 PEPP |
| Dec 29, 2025 | GONZ 96 – 56 PEPP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | GONZ 107 – 55 PEPP |
| Dec 31, 2024 | GONZ 89 – 82 PEPP |
| Jan 19, 2024 | GONZ 86 – 61 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 28-4 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 13-1 |
| Home | 7-9 | 16-0 |
| Away | 0-13 | 5-1 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 87.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 66.2 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#294) | 25.4 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#287) | 3.60 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#281) | 4.82 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#306) | 0.623 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 53.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 42.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 60.5% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 42.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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