Betting Lines
| Spread | SFA -19.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFA +17 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | SFA -19.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFA -16.6 (+0.4) | 140.5 (+18.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFA -16.8 (+0.2) | 139.6 (+19.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFA -17.4 (-0.4) | 139.3 (+19.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFA -17.1 (-0.1) | 140.0 (+19.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2022 | SFA 81 – 61 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFA | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-3 | 5-9 |
| Away | 7-4 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 62.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#115) | -13.0 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#116) | -2.20 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#121) | -2.79 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#97) | 0.397 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFA | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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