Betting Lines
| Spread | SFA -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | CHST +600 SFA -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFA +20 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | SFA -12.6 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFA -11.3 (-8.7) | 137.2 (+4.8) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFA -12.3 (-7.7) | 138.5 (+3.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFA -11.4 (-8.6) | 139.1 (+2.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFA -11.3 (-8.7) | 138.8 (+3.2) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2022 | SFA 88 – 71 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 14-4 |
| Home | 5-9 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.1 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -12.6 (#339) | 3.2 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#325) | 0.70 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.72 (#331) | 0.71 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#327) | 0.543 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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