Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -17.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +22 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -17.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -17.0 (+5.0) | 132.4 (-8.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -14.3 (+7.7) | 136.1 (-12.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -13.9 (+8.1) | 135.1 (-11.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -13.7 (+8.3) | 135.1 (-11.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | DRKE 82 – 78 EVAN |
| Dec 21, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 65 EVAN |
| Feb 27, 2025 | DRKE 65 – 61 EVAN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 40 EVAN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DRKE 79 – 58 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 2-16 |
| Home | 14-3 | 4-9 |
| Away | 8-2 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 3-6 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 58.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#93) | -8.5 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#129) | -1.86 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#128) | -1.87 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#140) | 0.422 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 28.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 5.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 15.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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