Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +11 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -15.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -12.5 (-1.5) | 157.2 (-14.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -13.8 (-2.8) | 155.0 (-12.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -14.1 (-3.1) | 155.3 (-12.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -13.8 (-2.8) | 156.1 (-13.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MARQ 76 – 60 GTWN |
| Dec 18, 2025 | GTWN 78 – 69 MARQ |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MARQ 76 – 61 GTWN |
| Jan 8, 2025 | MARQ 74 – 66 GTWN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MARQ 91 – 57 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 0-19 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-11 |
| Away | 4-7 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L21 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#36) | -1.2 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#25) | -0.53 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#28) | -0.45 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#44) | 0.454 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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