Betting Lines
| Spread | HART -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HART +10 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | HART -11.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HART -10.2 (-0.2) | 137.9 (+2.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HART -10.1 (-0.1) | 138.5 (+1.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HART -9.3 (+0.7) | 138.3 (+1.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HART -9.3 (+0.7) | 136.5 (+3.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2022 | HART 78 – 66 ME |
| Dec 20, 2020 | HART 65 – 50 ME |
| Dec 19, 2020 | HART 63 – 60 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 3-15 |
| Home | 7-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 5-13 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 60.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#284) | -16.1 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#310) | -3.30 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#319) | -3.88 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#304) | 0.367 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 14.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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