Betting Lines
| Spread | HART -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HART +12 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | HART -6.1 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HART -7.6 (-4.4) | 138.2 (+5.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HART -6.5 (-5.5) | 139.1 (+4.9) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HART -6.2 (-5.8) | 138.6 (+5.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HART -6.2 (-5.8) | 136.6 (+7.4) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2022 | HART 75 – 65 ME |
| Dec 20, 2020 | HART 65 – 50 ME |
| Dec 19, 2020 | HART 63 – 60 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-9 | 7-5 |
| Away | 1-14 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.7 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -17.0 (#355) | -7.5 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.82 (#355) | -2.17 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.59 (#355) | -2.66 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.346 (#353) | 0.420 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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