Betting Lines
| Spread | HART -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HART +15 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | HART -1.6 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HART -3.7 (+11.3) | 132.1 (-17.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HART -5.6 (+9.4) | 131.7 (-16.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HART -5.0 (+10.0) | 127.9 (-12.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2022 | HART 75 – 65 ME |
| Feb 1, 2022 | HART 78 – 66 ME |
| Dec 19, 2020 | HART 63 – 60 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-9 | 2-7 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 2-6 |
| Home | 10-1 | 1-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 53.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 64.6 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#228) | -1.4 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#92) | -0.72 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#104) | -0.87 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#52) | 0.446 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 25.1% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 5.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 29.0% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.4% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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