I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–13 on winners spread MAE 8.5 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UC Irvine @ UC San Diego — — — 79–65 —
USC @ Arizona State -6.9 149.2 22% 73–64 ✓
Georgetown @ Syracuse +14.3 147.8 88% 69–74 ✓
Incarnate Word @ LSU New Orleans +0.2 136.6 44% 64–86 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Cleveland State +5.7 128.5 75% 71–74 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Eastern Kentucky +11.3 146.7 87% 80–90 ✓
Stetson @ North Alabama -1.7 143.5 40% 66–73 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky +5.6 142.8 75% 63–58 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ Old Dominion +7.4 138.0 77% 55–64 ✓
Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's +8.5 124.8 79% 66–64 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Riverside +3.0 145.9 57% 68–70 ✓
Gonzaga @ Portland -15.1 164.3 14% 116–88 ✓
South Dakota @ Kansas City -0.9 130.7 46% 68–62 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Valley +5.2 147.7 70% 77–81 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Tarleton State -2.6 138.3 37% 59–48 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton +3.4 154.5 62% 72–75 ✓
North Dakota @ Oral Roberts +8.5 145.0 82% 57–74 ✓
Omaha @ North Dakota State +9.4 136.5 82% 66–80 ✓
Western Illinois @ South Dakota State +11.1 152.3 87% 63–92 ✓
LSU @ Ole Miss +1.8 146.5 57% 75–61 ✗
UCLA @ Arizona +6.0 147.8 74% 81–76 ✗
Nevada @ San Diego State +10.4 134.7 86% 67–69 ✓
Rice @ UTEP +11.5 151.0 85% 71–68 ✗
Oregon @ Utah -3.1 136.7 33% 79–73 ✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield +12.8 133.0 87% 50–65 ✓
Providence @ Xavier +6.9 148.8 76% 73–74 ✓
UMBC @ New Hampshire -2.6 133.9 39% 68–66 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Winthrop +11.8 153.7 87% 83–91 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Hampton -0.4 143.7 44% 85–77 ✓
Hartford @ UMass Lowell +2.2 132.4 61% 75–58 ✗
Drexel @ Charleston -0.8 131.3 44% 68–73 ✗
South Carolina State @ Florida A&M +17.4 144.1 90% 68–70 ✓
Morgan State @ Norfolk State +0.3 140.1 47% 85–89 ✓
Illinois State @ Evansville +5.2 133.1 75% 73–68 ✗
Missouri State @ Valparaiso -5.0 144.2 30% 78–68 ✓
Marist @ Monmouth +8.6 146.6 82% 62–72 ✓
Vermont @ Binghamton -5.3 142.8 28% 84–44 ✓
Maine @ NJIT +6.9 132.9 75% 45–41 ✗
Minnesota @ Iowa +9.9 163.9 83% 71–86 ✓
Lehigh @ Navy +7.5 142.8 80% 58–73 ✓
Holy Cross @ Army +10.5 144.1 85% 70–61 ✗
Siena @ Fairfield -11.6 132.9 15% 75–68 ✓
Bradley @ Northern Iowa -2.4 137.1 37% 72–78 ✗
Radford @ Charleston Southern -7.8 130.1 21% 68–48 ✓
Cincinnati @ Wichita State +6.1 144.9 75% 76–82 ✓
Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech +13.0 147.2 87% 63–77 ✓
Indiana @ Nebraska -7.1 140.0 26% 84–76 ✓
Bucknell @ Lafayette +15.8 147.5 88% 76–87 ✓
Colgate @ Boston University -7.2 153.0 25% 89–45 ✓
Campbell @ Longwood +0.1 137.0 49% 69–78 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Indiana State -4.2 137.8 33% 71–76 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.