Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | HAMP +175 UNCA -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +8 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCA -1.9 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (+15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -1.6 (-6.4) | 144.3 (+17.7) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -0.4 (-7.6) | 143.7 (+18.3) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -0.2 (-7.8) | 143.0 (+19.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -0.4 (-8.4) | 145.1 (+16.9) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2022 | UNCA 69 – 53 HAMP |
| Jan 9, 2021 | HAMP 73 – 71 UNCA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 10-10 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-5 |
| Home | 5-7 | 6-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#295) | -3.8 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#297) | -1.71 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.87 (#307) | -1.88 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.373 (#319) | 0.421 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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