Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP +145 UNCA -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +2 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | UNCA -2.3 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -2.0 (+4.0) | 145.4 (-1.4) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -1.4 (+3.4) | 146.0 (-2.0) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -1.6 (+3.6) | 145.7 (-1.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -0.5 (+2.5) | 147.5 (-3.5) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2022 | UNCA 69 – 53 HAMP |
| Jan 10, 2021 | UNCA 85 – 77 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 10-10 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-5 |
| Home | 5-7 | 6-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#293) | -3.0 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#309) | -1.24 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.12 (#317) | -1.40 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.350 (#323) | 0.446 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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