Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +16 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | UNCA -10.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -9.6 (+6.4) | 138.3 (-16.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -9.3 (+6.7) | 136.0 (-14.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -9.9 (+6.1) | 135.9 (-13.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -9.3 (+6.7) | 136.7 (-14.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2021 | UNCA 85 – 77 HAMP |
| Jan 9, 2021 | HAMP 73 – 71 UNCA |
Game Analysis
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