Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | BU +180 COLG -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +44 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -11.0 (-33.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (-23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -7.2 (-36.8) | 153.0 (-19.0) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -5.8 (-38.2) | 148.3 (-14.3) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -8.8 (-35.2) | 155.4 (-21.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -7.0 (-37.0) | 152.0 (-18.0) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | BU 85 – 58 COLG |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COLG 80 – 79 BU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BU 93 – 91 COLG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | COLG 87 – 50 BU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | COLG 74 – 64 BU |
Game Analysis
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