Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | ORU -410 UND +330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +17 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -11.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -8.5 (+8.5) | 145.0 (-14.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -8.3 (+8.7) | 141.8 (-10.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -8.9 (+8.1) | 142.3 (-11.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -7.9 (+9.1) | 143.8 (-12.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UND 79 – 62 ORU |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UND 72 – 61 ORU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UND 88 – 77 ORU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | ORU 83 – 79 UND |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UND 78 – 65 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 9-17 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 8-8 |
| Home | 8-3 | 5-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#133) | -6.5 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#226) | -1.34 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#181) | -2.27 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#161) | 0.435 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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