Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | MONM -400 MRST +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +10 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -10.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -7.1 (+2.9) | 143.2 (-9.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -8.6 (+1.4) | 146.6 (-12.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -8.1 (+1.9) | 145.5 (-11.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -9.0 (+1.0) | 145.2 (-11.2) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2022 | MRST 83 – 58 MONM |
| Jan 16, 2022 | MRST 84 – 48 MONM |
| Jan 9, 2021 | MONM 80 – 64 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-8 | 12-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-2 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 63.6 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#119) | -4.3 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#139) | 0.20 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#129) | -0.28 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#68) | 0.524 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 41.1% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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