Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +25 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | MONM -8.2 (-33.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -6.3 (-31.3) | 137.3 (+3.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -7.8 (-32.8) | 137.3 (+3.7) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -7.7 (-32.7) | 137.9 (+3.1) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -7.6 (-32.6) | 139.0 (+2.0) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2022 | MRST 84 – 48 MONM |
| Jan 10, 2021 | MONM 72 – 62 MRST |
| Jan 9, 2021 | MONM 80 – 64 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 10-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#113) | -1.4 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#95) | -0.96 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#96) | -0.88 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#61) | 0.462 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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