Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +36 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -4.7 (+40.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -3.0 (+39.0) | 134.1 (-2.1) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -3.7 (+39.7) | 134.8 (-2.8) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -3.2 (+39.2) | 134.7 (-2.7) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -3.8 (+39.8) | 136.6 (-4.6) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2022 | MRST 83 – 58 MONM |
| Jan 10, 2021 | MONM 72 – 62 MRST |
| Jan 9, 2021 | MONM 80 – 64 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 67.3 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#197) | 7.2 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#229) | 1.53 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#230) | 1.96 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#219) | 0.583 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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