Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +16 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -8.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -5.4 (+10.6) | 143.0 (+1.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -6.7 (+9.3) | 146.3 (-2.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -6.1 (+9.9) | 145.9 (-1.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -7.5 (+8.5) | 145.2 (-1.2) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2022 | MRST 83 – 58 MONM |
| Jan 16, 2022 | MRST 84 – 48 MONM |
| Jan 10, 2021 | MONM 72 – 62 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-8 | 12-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-2 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 63.6 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#127) | -3.6 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#157) | 0.39 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#136) | -0.18 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#126) | 0.511 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.9% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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