Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
| Money | KC +105 SDAK -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +6 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | KC -0.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.5 (+3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -0.9 (-5.1) | 130.7 (-0.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -0.4 (-5.6) | 126.8 (+3.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -1.3 (-4.7) | 132.0 (-2.0) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -0.5 (-5.5) | 134.1 (-4.1) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SDAK 82 – 75 KC |
| Jan 16, 2026 | SDAK 99 – 83 KC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SDAK 79 – 72 KC |
| Jan 3, 2025 | KC 68 – 54 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2024 | KC 82 – 78 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-13 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 11-4 |
| Home | 8-3 | 7-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#193) | 1.1 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#311) | -0.90 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#289) | -0.99 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#268) | 0.429 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 29.4 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 46.9% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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