Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -32.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +28 | 204 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -28.6 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.8 (+37.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -15.1 (-12.9) | 164.3 (+39.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -15.7 (-12.3) | 171.4 (+32.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -23.2 (-4.8) | 165.1 (+38.9) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -20.5 (-7.5) | 170.9 (+33.1) | 11% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 48 PORT |
| Feb 5, 2026 | PORT 87 – 80 GONZ |
| Jan 26, 2025 | GONZ 105 – 62 PORT |
| Jan 3, 2025 | GONZ 81 – 50 PORT |
| Feb 23, 2024 | GONZ 86 – 65 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-15 | 31-1 |
| Conference | 0-11 | 15-0 |
| Home | 5-8 | 12-0 |
| Away | 1-6 | 7-0 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 12-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L13 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 91.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.1 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#307) | 22.1 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#203) | 5.25 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#259) | 7.35 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#201) | 0.710 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 54.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 1.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.5% | 60.3% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 33.6% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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