Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | SMC -490 SCU +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | SMC -10.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -8.5 (-10.5) | 124.8 (+5.2) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -7.8 (-9.8) | 128.3 (+1.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -8.0 (-10.0) | 130.4 (-0.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -9.5 (-11.5) | 126.4 (+3.6) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | SCU 76 – 71 SMC |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SMC 86 – 67 SCU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SCU 62 – 54 SMC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | SMC 73 – 64 SCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | SMC 67 – 54 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-10 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 4-6 | 4-5 |
| Home | 9-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 2-3 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#71) | 0.5 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#57) | 1.17 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#75) | 1.38 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#51) | 0.563 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 20.8% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 42.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 79.5% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.