Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU -300 OMA +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +14 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -10.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -9.4 (+4.6) | 136.5 (+9.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -8.5 (+5.5) | 135.3 (+10.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -9.9 (+4.1) | 137.4 (+8.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -9.6 (+4.4) | 135.4 (+10.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NDSU 74 – 50 OMA |
| Feb 7, 2026 | NDSU 92 – 84 OMA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NDSU 78 – 76 OMA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | OMA 85 – 74 NDSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | OMA 85 – 80 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 5-20 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 3-11 |
| Home | 6-2 | 1-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 78.0 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#158) | -7.8 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#187) | -1.69 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#198) | -2.32 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#158) | 0.451 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 79.7% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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