Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -20.5 Home covered |
| Money | MISS +1025 LSU -1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +14 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -1.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -1.8 (-15.8) | 146.5 (-10.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -1.4 (-15.4) | 142.4 (-6.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -1.1 (-15.1) | 148.3 (-12.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -1.4 (-15.4) | 147.9 (-11.9) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LSU 106 – 99 MISS |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MISS 72 – 70 LSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MISS 77 – 65 LSU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | LSU 89 – 80 MISS |
| Feb 26, 2023 | MISS 82 – 69 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 19-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-6 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 81.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#42) | 14.4 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#105) | 1.78 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#83) | 2.42 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#138) | 0.612 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.6% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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