Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | UTAH +120 ORE -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +6 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -5.1 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -3.1 (-2.9) | 136.7 (+15.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -2.1 (-3.9) | 135.8 (+16.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -3.2 (-2.8) | 137.0 (+15.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -3.2 (-2.8) | 136.8 (+15.2) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2024 | ORE 66 – 65 UTAH |
| Jan 21, 2024 | UTAH 80 – 77 ORE |
| Jan 29, 2023 | ORE 68 – 56 UTAH |
| Jan 8, 2023 | ORE 70 – 60 UTAH |
| Feb 6, 2022 | ORE 80 – 77 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-13 | 21-7 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#93) | 13.8 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#147) | 2.50 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#137) | 3.69 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#179) | 0.600 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.6% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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