Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
E.A. Diddle Arena · January 10, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money WKU -270 / LT +230
Model Predictions
Spread Total WKU win
Actual LT +5 121 Lost
Massey WKU -4.1 (-9.1) — —
Massey Totals — 145.0 (-24.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WKU -5.6 (-10.6) 142.8 (-21.8) 75% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WKU -4.8 (-9.8) 140.9 (-19.9) 70% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WKU -5.4 (-10.4) 145.5 (-24.5) 75% ✗
Baseline ML WKU -5.2 (-10.2) 142.2 (-21.2) 73% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 4, 2026 WKU 66 – 61 LT
Feb 23, 2025 WKU 64 – 63 LT
Jan 24, 2025 LT 77 – 67 WKU
Feb 29, 2024 LT 90 – 84 WKU
Feb 8, 2024 WKU 81 – 76 LT

Game Analysis

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