I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
Western Athletic Conference · UCCU Center · January 10, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread UVU -4.5 Away covered
O/U 146.0 Over
Money UVU -210 / CBU +180
Model Predictions
Spread Total UVU win
Actual UVU +4 158 Won
Massey UVU -6.8 (-2.8) — —
Massey Totals — 151.7 (+6.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 76% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 81% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UVU -5.2 (-1.2) 147.7 (+10.3) 70% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UVU -6.4 (-2.4) 146.8 (+11.2) 75% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UVU -5.3 (-1.3) 150.1 (+7.9) 76% ✓
Baseline ML UVU -4.4 (-0.4) 148.8 (+9.2) 72% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2026 CBU 63 – 61 UVU
Feb 20, 2026 UVU 65 – 46 CBU
Jan 25, 2026 CBU 78 – 71 UVU
Dec 30, 2025 UVU 73 – 66 CBU
Jan 24, 2025 UVU 74 – 69 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UVU CBU
Overall 11-11 13-10
Conference 9-4 6-6
Home 8-4 11-4
Away 3-6 2-5
Neutral 0-1 0-1
Last 5 1-4 1-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 72.7 76.3
Avg Pts Against 74.5 76.5
Massey -2.0 (#200) -5.9 (#261)
Bradley-Terry -1.98 (#301) -2.59 (#323)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.25 (#283) -3.12 (#315)
RPI 0.405 (#282) 0.329 (#335)
Shooting & Four Factors UVU CBU
FG% 45.1% 41.4%
3PT% 29.2% 35.6%
REB / G 37.7 37.0
OREB / G 10.8 12.8
AST / TO 1.12 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 49.8%
TOV% 20.3% 22.1%
ORB% 29.8% 32.5%
FT Rate 24.6% 19.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.1% 50.0%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 20.6%
DRB% 80.1% 61.0%
Opp FT Rate 26.5% 30.2%

Game Analysis

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