Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | BING +700 UVM -1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +40 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -7.6 (-32.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -5.3 (-34.7) | 142.8 (-14.8) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -6.3 (-33.7) | 136.4 (-8.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -5.8 (-34.2) | 142.6 (-14.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -5.4 (-34.6) | 143.4 (-15.4) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UVM 73 – 65 BING |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UVM 60 – 59 BING |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BING 75 – 72 UVM |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UVM 72 – 64 BING |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UVM 62 – 49 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-14 | 10-5 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 10-4 |
| Home | 1-9 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-5 | 4-2 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 63.4 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#308) | 0.8 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#315) | -0.90 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.69 (#300) | -0.20 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#293) | 0.380 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 13.4% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 81.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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