Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | CHSO +170 RAD -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +20 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -6.8 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -7.8 (-12.2) | 130.1 (-14.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -8.0 (-12.0) | 129.8 (-13.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -6.6 (-13.4) | 130.5 (-14.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -7.5 (-12.5) | 130.7 (-14.7) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | RAD 90 – 80 CHSO |
| Jan 30, 2026 | RAD 84 – 75 CHSO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | RAD 76 – 60 CHSO |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CHSO 58 – 54 RAD |
| Feb 29, 2024 | CHSO 58 – 57 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-18 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 2-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 1-9 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -13.1 (#329) | -3.4 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.51 (#343) | -1.28 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.32 (#339) | -1.86 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.385 (#306) | 0.454 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.52 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 26.2% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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