Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Under |
| Money | CSUB -1100 CP +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +15 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | CSUB -17.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -12.8 (+2.2) | 133.0 (-18.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -14.0 (+1.0) | 128.7 (-13.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -13.8 (+1.2) | 132.7 (-17.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -14.1 (+0.9) | 132.9 (-17.9) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CP 108 – 76 CSUB |
| Jan 30, 2026 | CP 104 – 79 CSUB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CP 98 – 72 CSUB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CP 90 – 81 CSUB |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CSUB 68 – 56 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-11 | 4-20 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 1-15 |
| Home | 9-2 | 3-8 |
| Away | 6-8 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 59.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#161) | -14.4 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#143) | -2.45 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#127) | -3.88 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#154) | 0.343 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 43.2% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.3% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.