Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -165 UCLA +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -5.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -6.0 (-11.0) | 147.8 (+9.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -4.4 (-9.4) | 142.1 (+14.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -5.9 (-10.9) | 148.5 (+8.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -5.8 (-10.8) | 147.7 (+9.3) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 3, 2026 | UCLA 84 – 75 ARIZ |
| Nov 15, 2025 | ARIZ 69 – 65 UCLA |
| Dec 14, 2024 | UCLA 57 – 54 ARIZ |
| Mar 8, 2024 | ARIZ 88 – 65 UCLA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ARIZ 77 – 71 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-9 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 12.6 (#29) | 9.7 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#42) | 2.41 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.28 (#36) | 3.12 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#63) | 0.610 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 41.6 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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