← All models
Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–1 on winners
spread MAE 4.6
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Francisco
@
Loyola Marymount
|
+0.9 | 136.9 | 60% | 60–68 | ✓ |
San José State
@
Fresno State
|
+12.4 | 148.0 | 88% | 65–80 | ✓ |
Maryland
@
Illinois
|
+12.6 | 151.4 | 87% | 66–63 | ✗ |
Temple
@
SMU
|
+10.9 | 141.4 | 87% | 68–79 | ✓ |
UConn
@
DePaul
|
-7.4 | 145.8 | 22% | 60–53 | ✓ |
Colorado
@
Utah
|
-5.4 | 135.9 | 30% | 65–58 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.