Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH +140 COLO -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +7 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -8.7 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -5.4 (-1.6) | 135.9 (-12.9) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -6.4 (-0.6) | 131.3 (-8.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -5.3 (-1.7) | 136.1 (-13.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -5.4 (-1.6) | 137.3 (-14.3) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | COLO 92 – 78 UTAH |
| Jan 8, 2026 | COLO 85 – 73 UTAH |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTAH 72 – 59 COLO |
| Mar 15, 2024 | COLO 72 – 58 UTAH |
| Feb 25, 2024 | COLO 89 – 65 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-13 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-1 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#92) | 17.3 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#158) | 2.50 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#142) | 3.61 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#185) | 0.627 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.