Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | DEP +180 CONN -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +7 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | CONN -10.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (-37.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -7.4 (+0.4) | 145.8 (-32.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -7.2 (+0.2) | 141.9 (-28.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -7.4 (+0.4) | 144.2 (-31.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -7.3 (+0.3) | 144.6 (-31.6) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | CONN 72 – 60 DEP |
| Dec 21, 2025 | CONN 72 – 54 DEP |
| Jan 30, 2025 | CONN 72 – 61 DEP |
| Jan 1, 2025 | CONN 81 – 68 DEP |
| Feb 15, 2024 | CONN 101 – 65 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-14 | 15-8 |
| Conference | 2-13 | 11-6 |
| Home | 2-8 | 7-3 |
| Away | 2-5 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#148) | 14.1 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#225) | 3.00 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#192) | 4.47 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#251) | 0.616 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 41.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.6% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.