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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–2 on winners
spread MAE 6.9
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Loyola Chicago
@
Indiana State
|
-1.3 | 139.0 | 45% | 58–48 | ✓ |
Bradley
@
Northern Iowa
|
+0.1 | 139.3 | 51% | 75–73 | ✗ |
Texas Southern
@
Prairie View A&M
|
+0.7 | 143.9 | 56% | 67–73 | ✓ |
Boise State
@
Wyoming
|
-11.1 | 155.2 | 17% | 83–60 | ✓ |
Buffalo
@
Western Michigan
|
-9.3 | 144.8 | 20% | 85–69 | ✓ |
Akron
@
Northern Illinois
|
-10.6 | 132.0 | 17% | 65–67 | ✗ |
Kent State
@
Central Michigan
|
-6.9 | 150.7 | 25% | 94–85 | ✓ |
Alabama State
@
Mississippi Valley State
|
-6.8 | 138.9 | 27% | 64–51 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.