Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UNI +125 BRAD -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +2 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -2.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -0.1 (-2.1) | 139.3 (+8.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -1.0 (-1.0) | 137.8 (+10.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -0.1 (-2.1) | 140.3 (+7.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -0.3 (-1.7) | 140.8 (+7.2) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNI 73 – 69 BRAD |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNI 61 – 49 BRAD |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BRAD 75 – 69 UNI |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BRAD 73 – 56 UNI |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNI 83 – 69 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 12-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#176) | 4.1 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#207) | 0.30 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#193) | -0.05 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#170) | 0.521 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 40.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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