I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
Wyoming Cowboys
60 – 83
FINAL Conference
Boise State Broncos
Mountain West Conference · Arena-Auditorium · January 12, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread BOIS -7.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Under
Money WYO +275 / BOIS -275
Model Predictions
Spread Total WYO win
Actual BOIS +23 143 Lost
Massey BOIS -12.1 (-10.9) — —
Massey Totals — 158.6 (-15.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 8% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 2% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BOIS -11.1 (-11.9) 155.2 (-12.2) 17% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BOIS -9.7 (-13.3) 151.2 (-8.2) 18% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BOIS -11.6 (-11.4) 156.8 (-13.8) 15% ✓
Baseline ML BOIS -12.9 (-10.1) 156.1 (-13.1) 17% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 BOIS 72 – 62 WYO
Jan 21, 2026 BOIS 81 – 65 WYO
Jan 15, 2025 BOIS 96 – 55 WYO
Jan 1, 2025 BOIS 67 – 58 WYO
Feb 25, 2024 BOIS 92 – 72 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WYO BOIS
Overall 14-11 19-9
Conference 7-9 14-6
Home 7-5 11-1
Away 4-5 6-6
Neutral 3-1 2-2
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.6 75.4
Avg Pts Against 75.5 67.4
Massey -2.6 (#212) 12.3 (#30)
Bradley-Terry 0.32 (#145) 3.25 (#13)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.27 (#158) 4.56 (#12)
RPI 0.437 (#253) 0.619 (#27)
Shooting & Four Factors WYO BOIS
FG% 46.4% 47.5%
3PT% 38.0% 36.5%
REB / G 35.1 37.9
OREB / G 9.0 10.4
AST / TO 1.40 1.43
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.7% 54.2%
TOV% 14.2% 15.8%
ORB% 24.9% 31.2%
FT Rate 27.0% 26.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.3% 45.4%
Opp TOV% 19.6% 21.8%
DRB% 69.5% 79.0%
Opp FT Rate 23.8% 25.0%

Game Analysis

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