Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY -750 HC +525 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HC +9 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -11.9 (-20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -10.5 (-19.5) | 144.1 (-13.1) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -9.9 (-18.9) | 143.2 (-12.2) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -10.7 (-19.7) | 144.0 (-13.0) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -11.7 (-20.7) | 143.8 (-12.8) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARMY 69 – 68 HC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | HC 82 – 75 ARMY |
| Feb 5, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 65 HC |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ARMY 76 – 71 HC |
| Mar 5, 2024 | HC 84 – 68 ARMY |
Game Analysis
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